Tuesday, April 1, 2014

The Last Electoral Hope for Drowning the Corporate Pharaoh: Parting the Red Sea with Green Guerrilla Tactics and Blue Republican Partners in the Politics of Urgency

The following post is told from the perspective of a peaceful green progressive but it could just as well be told from an anti-interventionist libertarian point of view.

We need a realistic strategy that puts principles above party while recognizing the limitations of both the Green and the Democratic parties in electing a peaceful green progressive president.  This would mean of course electing as many Greens and truly progressive Democrats as possible to local, state and national offices.

We also need to recognize that gerrymandering of districts restricts how many US House and State congressional races are within play. The GP will probably not win any elections above small city mayor within the foreseeable future without some very outside the box electoral tactics.

Any strategy which is going to elect Green candidates above small city mayoral races will need to garner precious political and financial resources. Some have suggested suspending the GP's anti-corporate financing pledge. I am opposed to this as it could set a dangerous precedent which undermines the principles of our party, but even if we tapped green corporate money, we would still need far more radical tactics to make anything significant happen.

So how might we deal with this dilemma of needing to win election to state and national offices given our financial limitations and the political inertia of gerrymandered districts?

I would suggest that we look first to districts and states where the incumbent is retiring. Next we should focus on solid Democratic districts and states among these open seats. Finally, we should narrow these down to where the Democratic primary is closely contested by several candidates.

Once we have determined these districts and/or states, we need to find two principled peaceful green progressive candidates for each, one to endorse within the Democratic party and one to run as the GP nominee. We need to make our endorsement of the Democratic candidate conditional on her or his willingness to endorse the Green candidate should the progressive green Democrat fail to secure the primary nomination. As an added incentive, we need to promise that should he or she be the Democratic nominee, the Green Party candidate would withdraw from the general election and endorse the Democratic nominee.

Given this scenario of de facto fusion candidacies within reliably Democratic states and districts, we should be realistic about where this is most likely to occur and focus resources in these few areas. My guess is that given the precise mathematical rigidity of 21st century gerrymandering, we are more likely to elect progressive Democrats to the US House and Greens to the US Senate and state legislatures and executive offices.

These scenarios are more likely if Greens are willing to make realistic assessments not only of viable districts but also be willing to garner resources through cooperative voting tactics with Libertarian party and Constitution party candidates. I know this is a distasteful tactic but if we are to get the resources we need to make the difference that urgently needs to be made, we must be willing to exploit our rivals and "plunder the Egyptians."

So how do we part the political Red Sea?  We must be willing to to talk with outsiders of contrary ideologies and convince them that we need one another's help if we are going to drown the corporate Pharaoh.  This would require supporting libertarians and cultural conservatives both inside and outside of the Republican party in Red district and Red state primaries. It might require green, libertarian and cultural conservative candidates mutually endorsing one another and encouraging pragmatic crossover voting and discouraging Quixotic candidacies in unwinnable districts and states.

These measures may seem desperate and morally untenable but the real urgency of time and circumstances demand it. Those who wish to justify refraining from such urgent  tactics in favor of puritanical politics must give evidence that our planet and the cause of peaceful democracy have several election cycles remaining to turn the tide of global warming and to overthrow  the catastrophe  of corporate cannibalism.

Once we are convinced that Roosevelt did need Stalin to defeat Hitler and his fascist allies in Europe and Japan (or to put it more modestly, that Washington needed Rochambeau to defeat Cornwallis), we can add to this mix a realistic strategy for the 2016 presidential election. Anything short of a Green/Libertarian alliance ticket has zero chance of winning the White House for outsiders.

Given that such a ticket is politically impossible, what might we hope to realistically achieve? There might be a hope that a strong Green Party national candidacy would produce coattails down ticket. That is certainly a limited potentiality but insufficient to meet the urgency of the hour. What we might be able to do is seize substantial leadership posts and with them the ability to move good legislation to both floors of the capitol if we can mount a presidential campaign which throws an indecisive general election into the congress.

How can this power play be made? It requires much the same tactics outlined above. We need to find candidates both inside and outside of the major parties. For example, Dennis Kucinich could challenge Hillary Clinton in the primary and once the corporate hammer came down on him, he could endorse the Green Party ticket, preferably an hour or two before Clinton makes her acceptance speech. The GP ticket must be a solid one. I sympathize with efforts to recruit Bernie Sanders to bear our banner. With enough cajoling, he might just do it, but we need him in the VP slot so we can undermine the Hillary and the potential Susana Martinez candidacies with Jill Stein at the top of our ticket.

We ought to direct our resources toward winning Vermont and/or assisting the Republican nominees to victory in Ohio and/or Pennsylvania. Even then this Kucinich-endorsed Stein/Sanders ticket may still not be enough to force the election into congress. We would stand a better chance if we also did mutual endorsements and crossover voting with the Libertarian ticket of Gary Johnson and Andrew Napolitano (backed by a well burnt Rand Paul) in our three target states and their five target states of New Mexico, Kentucky, Nevada, Colorado and North Carolina. Of course, we ought to avoid wasting precious resources campaigning anywhere outside of of these 8 states except to help a few local and state candidates in viable elections.

The likely outcome of such a strategy in the presidential race is that the house chooses a Republican president and the Senate has a very close vote which is decided by Rand Paul and Bernie Sanders. A deal could be made in such circumstances to elect Julian Castro vice president. (Yes .. I do suspect you will reconsider your dismissal of this post when you discover that Clinton/Castro will face Martinez/Huckabee in the corporate showdown.)

The election of an Hispanic Republican President and an Hispanic Democratic Vice President with Rand Paul and Bernie Sanders dictating the Senate agenda and overseeing President Martinez's  cabinet and court nominees along with a chaotic and closely divided House (perhaps with a Democratic majority electing a Republican president) could be disruptive enough to start a real revolution that brings the corporate PTB to their knees.

In any case,  more conventional, imitation corporate campaigns in '14 and '16 will get us nowhere.

Time to get out of the box and make something real happen or else just admit you don't really feel too threatened by corporate totalitarianism.

Fess up and tell us why we need to wait on the timid tactics of tribal politics and fairy tale fearfulness.

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Trans-partisan Strategy and Tactics for the Next 8 to 12 Years


Now that the 2012 elections are history, clear-eyed progressives and reality-based libertarians can both say unequivocally, “We lost big time.” Those who try to make excuses or bask in how much better Ron Paul did this time around are whistling in the dark. Progressives who have stayed with Obama believing that he’s the best that we can do or that he is even one of us anymore are completely deluded.

I know that is not the best way to begin to communicate with my targeted audiences, but it has to be said with crystal clarity… there is no way on earth that either libertarians or progressives can, over the next 12 years, win a majority in the Senate or the House or get anywhere near the White House, not if we continue to go at it alone. This is true whether one chooses an inside the major parties strategy, an independent strategy or a sectarian party strategy.  Even if there were one among us with Ross Perot’s money and charisma, we will still lose. We lost and any repeated or better funded, more polished version of any of the tactics and/or strategies deployed by Ron Paul, Gary Johnson, Jill Stein or Rocky Anderson will lose.

The numbers are not there for either libertarians or progressives. The numbers are growing in both camps and it is probable that one of the two will at last dominate one of the two parties. My bet is that libertarians are more likely to take over the Republican Party in the next 20 years than are progressives to do the same with the Democratic party, given the inability after 4 years of Obama for many of us to know what the word means (not mention the previous support for Dr. Poser Progressive Dean… a libertarian at heart if anybody’s still interested).

What is needed is clearly a real coalition/alliance strategy that is willing to fight both inside and outside the major parties and from the bottom up at local, state and national levels.

By coalition/alliance I do not mean clever PR from one side toward the other which says out loud, “We have so much in common!” But then thinks, “If you just let me use you this once, you’ll see how smart I am and let me have you my way all the time.”

What I mean is an intentional and real but temporary partnership between two ideological forces who know beyond a shadow of a doubt that they are no match going solo against the two-headed corporate beast. If you have not reached that conclusion yet, don’t waste your time reading any further.

This coalition/alliance must be specifically policy-based and must have some very concrete economic compromises firmly in place if it is ever going to see the light of day. Thinking we can all get together around anti-war, hemponomics, and get out of my bedroom politics has already failed miserably. There have to be some major and concrete compromises on economic policies  concerning debt reduction, federal spending and taxes. If you can’t see the necessity of that, again, you should have stopped reading after the previous paragraph.

I have and will continue to set forth and seek proposals for building this essential economic platform but for this article, I want to focus on the political strategy and tactics of this alliance. With an economic compromise in place, we can win but not without a realistic political strategy of naming friends and foes, recruiting and promoting tenable candidates and working on the inside and outside of both major parties.

Naming our friends and foes ought to be the easiest step in the process. A litmus test is already in place. It’s called the NDAA.  Every libertarian and progressive organization and individual ought to pledge right now to support or not oppose any of the Senators or Representatives who have opposed or voted consistently against the NDAA over the last 4 years, or for that matter have seen the light over the last 2 years. What’s the problem?

The problem is Michele Bachman just voted against the NDAA.  I can’t see many progressives or libertarians being thrilled about the idea of allowing her to stay one more day in the congress. Maybe there is a libertarian Republican or a progressive Democrat who can beat her in the 2014 election and if so, by all means, make it happen. However, if Bachman’s seat is like the vast majority of House seats, safe for incumbents until gerrymandering recommences in 2020, then for goodness sake, let’s not waste time or precious financial resources trying to do the impossible.

Impossible… that’s right. It is all but impossible to beat incumbent House members once they have served two terms.  This may mean we have to focus on state legislatures and the US Senate.  Maybe with very selective targeting, we can move the number of pro peace and civil liberty Representatives up toward 150 or 160 by 2016 and with the right executive coat tails, maybe we reach 218 by 2018 or 220 by 2020. In any case the strategy and tactics for getting there are the same up and down the ballot.

Let us think about this for a moment with a few examples. In California, there is no use opposing Feinstein or Pelosi although neither of them are ideal progressives and the latter of them should be in jail with George W. right now. We might however be able to take out a Lindsey Graham if a libertarian rebellion can ally itself with a progressive Democrat. Put Jim DeMint and his recent rejection of the NDAA and the US Senate to the ultimate test.

Or perhaps there are a select few House seats where a neo-con Republican or a blue dog Democrat is vulnerable. I would look for seats where the incumbent neo-con just defeated a one or two term blue dog or vice versa. In the NC-11 race this year, blue dog Heath Shuler’s chief of staff got shut down by Vance Patterson who will probably turn out to be another war-mongering, chicken hawk homophobe spouting free market rhetoric to insure military contractors in his district get their fair share. I hope he turns into the next Walter Jones but just in case he’s not and the demographics are plausible, let’s take him down. Here’s how:

Gather all 13 Greens and all 22 Libertarian in the 11th district and get them together with liberty minded Republicans and progressive leaning Democrats and independents to find a candidate who is progressive on issues of war, peace, and economics and moderate on civil rights and liberties. What we would be looking for is a combination of Jill Stein and Virgil Goode, if you can imagine that. Progressives, pinch your noses or cover your ears when this candidate talks about God, guns and gays and tries to tell you not to abort a fetus just because we find out it’s lesbian.

Libertarians, you do the same and hold your breath too when this same candidate talks about the rich coughing up their fair share so we can pay teachers, pave roads and subsidize local farmers’ markets. Vote for this culturally conservative and economically progressive William Jennings Bryan throwback in the Democratic primary. And progressives if she doesn’t win the primary, join with the libertarians in supporting their independent candidate in the general election. If tact 1 works out, we get a shot at ending the neo-con, blue dog dance in NC-11. If not, then tactic 2 punishes Democrats and scares the living daylights out of Republicans.

The same sort of tactic could be played out in a few districts and several states. In the case of the Senate we can aim our sites at the most vulnerable violent corporatists. Any Senator regardless of party who won by less than 4 percentage points in the last election and who consistently kowtows to corporate lobbyists and mercenaries, preferably in smaller states, needs to be hunted down and targeted for replacement. In many cases, libertarians and progressives may have to bite their lips when it comes to cultural issues if they want to get done what needs to be done.

Obviously, even with the platform and the above mentioned tactics in place, US House and Senate races are going to be extremely difficult so we may all need to do what none of us really wants to do, start small by finding, equipping and running the most suitable candidates for local and state office. We may not win another single Senate or House seat before 2022. We may have to aim for state legislatures so we can gerrymander the districts in our favor in 2020. It’s a tedious and nasty prospect but it might be our only chance of pulling America out of the muck and mire of crony corporate corruption.

While we lurk low, we can also aim high with an inside/outside double team tactic in the presidential race. This year, I failed miserably at persuading my fellow progressives to vote for Ron Paul in the Republican primaries and caucuses.  Next time around, we will not have an incumbent to herd the tribe. I will not be trying to convince progressives to vote for Rand in the GOP primary, and Blue Republican, Robin Koerner  (I love that Brit we’ve smit)will hopefully be doing it my way this time around.

What we need are 4 candidates in cahoots with one another while running for president. It may be the most improbable strategy in political history, but it is the only chance we have of wresting the White House from the military industrial catastrophe’s empire building and maintenance strangle-hold any time soon.

The four candidates are two libertarians and two progressives. One libertarian (Rand Paul) runs inside the GOP while another runs as a Libertarian (Gary Johnson). One progressive (Barbara Lee…you thought I was going to say Dennis K.) runs for the Democratic nomination while another runs as a Green (Bernie Sanders, Jill Stein, Rocky Anderson…for goodness sake, somebody check an ego! It’s about policy and winning… not personality and making a statement!) . The point is we need one and only one progressive and one and only one libertarian running inside the Democratic and Republican parties respectively. We also need to expect these two candidates to fail, maybe finish second, more likely finish third behind 4 pseudo puritan candidates. (I know…  I can hear all the blades clanging against Don Quixote’s sword! “Total victory and unconditional surrender are nigh at hand!” Please…you were supposed to stop reading several paragraphs ago!)

When we face up to the inevitable defeat of the insiders, we can begin to talk about part 2 of this guerrilla tactic. Sometime between Super Tuesday and convention time, the insiders need to drop out and a week or so later endorse the two outsiders. Imagine the scene: July 4, 2016 inside independence hall in Philadelphia…. (Can somebody book the venue of Obama’s best speech now?) Dennis Kucinich and Rand Paul, surrounded by Jill Stein, Rocky Anderson, Ralph Nader, Bob Barr, Virgil Goode, Barbara Lee, Ron Paul, Justine Amash, etc., announce that they are endorsing an independent ticket of Gary Johnson and Bernie Sanders.

Can you imagine the shock waves ringing through MSNBC and Fox board rooms as they and all the corporate media cabal  scramble to find a way to pre-empt and dismiss this story?!

Admittedly, such a scene is a long shot, but if unemployment is hovering around 7%  (or worse if we are in the full throes of austerity) and we are getting news of CIA agents killed in Iran and a satellite successfully launched by North Korea along with competitive brinkmanship rhetoric from Mike Huckabee and Hillary Clinton, we might just see it.

And one more piece to this political puzzle: It might be easier to get Mars and Venus to switch places without crashing our rock, but with this and all the other tactics, we need the GP, JP, LP and CP to suspend nominations and start endorsing Democrats and Republicans in the primaries and independents in the general elections.

I don’t know what it will take to get libertarian, progressive, and yes, even cultural conservatives to do the right thing, but if you’re still reading this, maybe you can begin to imagine the outlines of a hopeful and realistic strategy to rescue a nation from imperial disaster. The tired virtue of patience and the reluctant will to compromise might be necessary, and it might even be too late to wake up from this corporate nightmare, but what other strategy is there? Do tell if you are still reading.